“Warcraft is so good and so good-looking that it got this immediate attraction; everybody who would ever consider playing an online game said, 'This is the one. I gotta try it.' And what'll happen is inevitably, like the health club model, after you pay your 30 bucks a month for 3 or 4 months and you only go once a week, you realize it's not worth it and you split. That's what will happen with Warcraft ... I think it's going to roll back to a million. I'm not predicting it's going to happen in three weeks; I'd guess it has a half-life of 6 months to a year,”
“It will limit the success if they're not materially better than the current-generation games. The analogy is, do you buy a new PC if you don't have a reason to? You just don't do it.”
“We do not expect a current generation Xbox price cut from Microsoft this year, notwithstanding the company's stated intention to 'support' the current generation console. We believe that Microsoft's production cost of the Xbox is higher than the current retail price, precluding further price cuts, and we also think that the company prefers that consumers buy its next generation console when that box is introduced.”
“[As such,] only one in 16 people need to rent an extra movie in the new extended rental period to offset the late-fee loss, and that's not that hard to get, ... When you let people rent for seven days instead of two, the consumer tends to grab the extra movie.”
“Take-Two is cheap and Atari is really cheap. Investors mistakenly look at the group as either being big and going to thrive or small and going to go broke.”
“The stock is getting hammered because investors are reacting like this is the next step to bankruptcy when in fact I think meeting with the banks is a good thing. Renegotiating the covenant is a positive because it means they won't be forced into bankruptcy.”
